24. Four Standard Auctions
24. Four Standard Auctions
Auctions 组导读 / Auctions group overview 「拍卖」组(Ch 24–27)研究四种标准拍卖及其收入性质:Ch 24 四种标准拍卖(一价/二价/英式/荷式)、Ch 25 收入等价定理、Ch 26 全支付拍卖、Ch 27 最优拍卖。
本章导读 四种标准拍卖:(1) 一价密封 (FPA):最高出价者赢、付自己的出价;(2) 二价密封(Vickrey):最高出价者赢、付第二高出价;(3) 升价(英式):价格从低升起、最后一名留下者赢、付自己最终出价;(4) 钟(荷式):价格从高下降、第一个出价者赢、付自己的初始出价。本章先聚焦 FPA 与 SPA,证明二者给拍卖人相同的期望收入;再论证英式 \(\equiv\) SPA、荷式 \(\equiv\) FPA,从而四者期望收入相同(收入等价定理见 Ch 25)。§24.1 框架(双方风险中性,\(n\) 个单位需求买家,类型 \(\theta_i\));§24.2 独立私人价值 (IPV) 环境(\(V_i=\theta_i\),同分布 $[0,1]\();§24.3 FPA 对称均衡竞价函数 \)\bar b(\theta)=\frac{1}{G(\theta)}\int_0^\theta xg(x)\,dx$ (24.1)\(=\theta-\int_0^\theta\frac{G(x)}{G(\theta)}dx\) (24.2)(微分方程法与包络定理法),期望收入 \(ER^{FPA}=\mathbb{E}[\theta\mid\theta=\) 第二高$]$ (24.7);§24.4 SPA 讲真话弱占优(断言 24.1)+ 多重均衡(例 24.1);§24.5 英式/荷式的等价。所有图均无(本章无外部图)。
24. Four Standard Auctions
Auctions group overview The "Auctions" group (Ch 24–27) studies the four standard auctions and their revenue properties: Ch 24 the four standard auctions (first-/second-price/English/Dutch), Ch 25 the Revenue Equivalence Theorem, Ch 26 All-Pay auctions, Ch 27 Optimal Auction.
Overview The four standard auctions: (1) First-Price Sealed Bid (FPA): the highest bidder wins and pays his own bid; (2) Second-Price Sealed (Vickrey): the highest bidder wins and pays the second-highest bid; (3) Ascending (English): price rises from low, the last remaining buyer wins and pays his own final bid; (4) Clock (Dutch): price drops from high, the first to bid wins and pays his own initial bid. This chapter first focuses on FPA and SPA, showing they generate the same expected revenue to the auctioneer; then argues English \(\equiv\) SPA, Dutch \(\equiv\) FPA, so all four yield the same expected revenue (the Revenue Equivalence Theorem is in Ch 25). §24.1 framework (both sides risk-neutral, \(n\) unit-demand buyers, types \(\theta_i\)); §24.2 the independent private values (IPV) environment (\(V_i=\theta_i\), same distribution on $[0,1]\(); §24.3 the FPA symmetric equilibrium bidding function \)\bar b(\theta)=\frac{1}{G(\theta)}\int_0^\theta xg(x)\,dx$ (24.1)\(=\theta-\int_0^\theta\frac{G(x)}{G(\theta)}dx\) (24.2) (differential-equations and envelope-theorem methods), expected revenue \(ER^{FPA}=\mathbb{E}[\theta\mid\theta=\) 2nd highest$]$ (24.7); §24.4 SPA truth-telling weakly dominant (Claim 24.1) plus multiple equilibria (Example 24.1); §24.5 the equivalence of English/Dutch. No external figures.
四种标准拍卖如下:1. 一价密封 (FPA):最高出价的买家赢得物品、支付自己的出价。2. 二价密封(Vickrey):最高出价的买家赢得物品、支付第二高的出价。3. 升价(英式):拍卖人从低价开始,价格上升直到只剩一人愿意出价,最后留下的买家赢得物品、支付自己的最终出价。4. 钟(荷式):拍卖人从高价开始,价格下降直到第一个人愿意出价,第一个出价的买家赢得物品、支付自己的初始出价。我们先聚焦 FPA 与 SPA,证明二者给拍卖人相同期望收入;再论证英式 \(\equiv\) 二价、荷式 \(\equiv\) 一价。于是四者给拍卖人相同期望收入,此结论由本节末的收入等价定理推广。
24.1 一般框架 / General framework
We have the following four standard auctions: 1. First-Price, Sealed Bid (FPA): the buyer with the highest bid wins the good and pays his own bid. 2. Second-Price, Sealed Bid (Vickrey): the buyer with the highest bid wins and pays the second-highest bid. 3. Ascending Bid (English Auction): the auctioneer starts off at a low price, the price rises until only a single person is willing to bid, the last remaining buyer wins and pays his own final bid. 4. Clock (Dutch) Auction: the auctioneer starts off at a high price, the price drops until the first person is willing to bid, the first bidding buyer wins and pays his own initial bid. We focus on the first- and second-price auctions and show those two generate equivalent expected payoffs to the auctioneer; then we argue English \(\equiv\) second-price, Dutch \(\equiv\) first-price. Thus all four generate the same expected payoff, a result generalized by the Revenue Equivalence Theorem at the end of this section.
24.1 General framework
框架 / Framework 买家与拍卖人都风险中性(即都用期望货币价值直接评价效用)。共 \(n\) 个买家,均为单位需求(各只需 1 单位),且只有单一一件物品出售。\(b_i\in\mathcal{B}_i\) 为买家 \(i\) 的出价,\(\mathcal{B}_i\) 为所有可能出价之集。每个买家 \(i\) 由类型(或称信号)\(\theta_i\) 刻画,随机分布于支撑 \(\Theta_i=[\underline\theta_i,\overline\theta_i]\),累积分布 \(F_i(\theta_i)\)、密度 \(f_i(\theta_i)\);\(n\) 个买家的类型 \((\theta_1,\dots,\theta_n)\) 服从联合分布 \(F(\theta_1,\dots,\theta_n)\)、密度 \(f(\theta_1,\dots,\theta_n)\)。买家 \(i\) 的效用为 \(V_i(\theta_1,\dots,\theta_n)\cdot p_i-t_i\),其中 \(V_i\) 是 \(i\) 的估值、\(p_i\) 是 \(i\) 得到物品的概率、\(t_i\) 是为得到物品的转移支付(未必等于出价)。注意 \(\theta_i\) 之间可相关、\(p_i\) 可依赖所有类型的分布、估值 \(V_i\) 可不仅依赖自身类型还依赖他人类型。假设无二级市场(不可转售)、无合谋。Both bidders and the auctioneer are risk-neutral (both evaluating utilities by expected monetary value directly). There are \(n\) bidders in total, all with unit demands (each demands only one unit), and only a single unit of the good is for sale. \(b_i\in\mathcal{B}_i\) is the bid of agent \(i\), \(\mathcal{B}_i\) the set of all possible bids. Each bidder \(i\) is characterized by a type (or signal) \(\theta_i\), randomly distributed on support \(\Theta_i=[\underline\theta_i,\overline\theta_i]\) with c.d.f. \(F_i(\theta_i)\) and p.d.f. \(f_i(\theta_i)\); the \(n\) bidders' types \((\theta_1,\dots,\theta_n)\) follow a joint distribution \(F(\theta_1,\dots,\theta_n)\) with p.d.f. \(f(\theta_1,\dots,\theta_n)\). Bidder \(i\)'s utility is \(V_i(\theta_1,\dots,\theta_n)\cdot p_i-t_i\), where \(V_i\) is \(i\)'s valuation, \(p_i\) the probability \(i\) gets the good, and \(t_i\) the transfer payment to get the good (not necessarily the bidding price). Note the \(\theta_i\)'s can be correlated, \(p_i\) can depend on the distribution of all types, and valuation \(V_i\) can depend not only on \(i\)'s own type but also on others'. Assume there is no secondary market (no resale) and no collusion.
24.2 独立私人价值 (IPV) 环境 / Independent and private values (IPV) environment 独立:所有主体的类型独立分布,\(f(\theta_1,\dots,\theta_n)=f_1(\theta_1)\times\cdots\times f_n(\theta_n)\),\(F\) 同理。私人:每个 \(i\) 的估值只与自身类型相关,\(V_i(\theta_1,\dots,\theta_n)=\theta_i\)。(一般情况未必如此:共同价值情形如石油钻探,\(V_i(\theta_1,\dots,\theta_n)=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n\theta_i\)。)进一步假设所有主体在同一支撑上有相同的类型分布:\(F_i=F_j\)、\(\Theta_i=\Theta_j=[0,1]\)、\(\mathcal{B}_i=\mathcal{B}_j=\mathcal{B}\) 对 \(\forall i,j\)。Independent: the types of all agents are independently distributed, \(f(\theta_1,\dots,\theta_n)=f_1(\theta_1)\times\cdots\times f_n(\theta_n)\), similarly for \(F\). Private: each agent \(i\)'s valuation is only related to his own type, \(V_i(\theta_1,\dots,\theta_n)=\theta_i\). (In general this might not be true: in the common-values case, e.g. oil drilling, \(V_i(\theta_1,\dots,\theta_n)=\frac1n\sum_{i=1}^n\theta_i\).) We further assume all agents have the same distribution of types on the same support: \(F_i=F_j\), \(\Theta_i=\Theta_j=[0,1]\), \(\mathcal{B}_i=\mathcal{B}_j=\mathcal{B}\) for \(\forall i,j\).
24.3 一价拍卖 / First-price auction
我们要找一个均衡,即一组竞价函数 \(b_i(\cdot):\Theta\to\mathcal{B}\),使所有主体都无激励偏离。聚焦对称均衡:所有主体同分布、同支撑,使用同一竞价函数 \(b_i(\cdot)=b_j(\cdot)=\bar b(\cdot)\)。先假设 \(\bar b(\theta)\) 严格递增且可微(稍后验证)。可用两种方法求 \(\bar b(\theta)\):微分方程或包络定理;前者更耗时但通用,后者更快但未必通用。
24.3.1 微分方程法 / Differential equations method
设所有其他主体都用 \(\bar b(\cdot)\)。主体 \(i\) 以类型 \(\theta_i\) 出价 \(b_i\) 的效用为下式;定义 \(\max_{j\ne i}\theta_j\) 的累积分布 \(G(\theta)=F(\theta)^{n-1}\)、密度 \(g(\theta)\)。因 \(\bar b(\cdot)\) 严格递增,其逆 \(\bar b^{-1}(b_i)\) 良定义、给出 \(\theta_i\),故 \(\mathbb{P}(b_i>\max_{j\ne i}\bar b(\theta_j))=G(\theta_i)=G(\bar b^{-1}(b_i))\),最大化问题改写为 \(\max_{b_i}U_i(b_i,\theta_i)=G(\bar b^{-1}(b_i))(\theta_i-b_i)\)。
24.3 First-price auction
We want to find an equilibrium, a set of bidding functions \(b_i(\cdot):\Theta\to\mathcal{B}\) such that no agent has an incentive to deviate. We focus on the symmetric equilibrium: all agents have the same distribution on the same support and use the same bidding function \(b_i(\cdot)=b_j(\cdot)=\bar b(\cdot)\). We first assume \(\bar b(\theta)\) is strictly increasing and differentiable (verified later). We can find \(\bar b(\theta)\) in two ways: differential equations or the envelope theorem; the former is more time-consuming but works generally, the latter is faster but won't always work.
24.3.1 Differential equations method
Suppose all other agents use \(\bar b(\cdot)\). Agent \(i\)'s utility of bidding \(b_i\) with type \(\theta_i\) is below; define the c.d.f. of \(\max_{j\ne i}\theta_j\) by \(G(\theta)=F(\theta)^{n-1}\) with p.d.f. \(g(\theta)\). Since \(\bar b(\cdot)\) is strictly increasing, its inverse \(\bar b^{-1}(b_i)\) is well-defined and gives \(\theta_i\), so \(\mathbb{P}(b_i>\max_{j\ne i}\bar b(\theta_j))=G(\theta_i)=G(\bar b^{-1}(b_i))\), and the maximization problem rewrites as \(\max_{b_i}U_i(b_i,\theta_i)=G(\bar b^{-1}(b_i))(\theta_i-b_i)\).
$$ U_i(b_i,\theta_i)=\mathbb{P}\!\left(b_i>\max_{j\ne i}\{\bar b(\theta_j)\}\right)(\theta_i-b_i) $$
对 \(b_i\) 逐 \(\theta_i\) 点态取一阶条件(脚注 24.1:一阶条件必要而非总充分,稍后验证充分性),并代回 \(\bar b^{-1}(b_i)=\theta_i\):
Take the f.o.c. for \(b_i\) point-wise at each \(\theta_i\) (footnote 24.1: f.o.c. are necessary but not always sufficient; we check sufficiency later), and substitute back \(\bar b^{-1}(b_i)=\theta_i\):
$$ -G(\bar b^{-1}(b_i))+g(\bar b^{-1}(b_i))\cdot\frac{d\bar b^{-1}(b_i)}{db_i}(\theta_i-b_i)=0 \;\Rightarrow\; g(\theta_i)\frac{1}{\bar b'(\theta_i)}(\theta_i-\bar b(\theta_i))=G(\theta_i) $$
$$ \Rightarrow g(\theta_i)\theta_i=G(\theta_i)\bar b'(\theta_i)+g(\theta_i)\bar b(\theta_i)=\frac{d}{d\theta_i}\big[G(\theta_i)\bar b(\theta_i)\big] \;\Rightarrow\; \int_0^\theta xg(x)\,dx=G(\theta)\bar b(\theta)+\text{constant} $$
用初始条件 \(\bar b(0)=0\) 得常数为 0,于是对称均衡竞价函数的第一表达式 (24.1),及其等价形式:
Using the initial condition \(\bar b(0)=0\), the constant is 0, giving the first expression for the symmetric-equilibrium bidding function (24.1) and its equivalent form:
$$ \bar b(\theta)=\frac{1}{G(\theta)}\left(\int_0^\theta xg(x)\,dx\right)=\frac{1}{F(\theta)^{n-1}}\left(\int_0^\theta x(n-1)F(x)^{n-2}f(x)\,dx\right) \tag{24.1} $$
对 (24.1) 分部积分得第二(等价)表达式 (24.2):
Integration by parts on (24.1) gives the second (equivalent) expression (24.2):
$$ \bar b(\theta)=\theta-\int_0^\theta\left(\frac{G(x)}{G(\theta)}\right)dx=\theta-\int_0^\theta\left(\frac{F(x)}{F(\theta)}\right)^{n-1}dx \tag{24.2} $$
验证 \(\bar b(\theta)\) 是对称均衡 / Verify \(\bar b(\theta)\) is a symmetric equilibrium (严格单调) 对 (24.2) 求导:\(\bar b'(\theta)=1+\dfrac{g(\theta)}{(G(\theta))^2}\int_0^\theta G(x)\,dx-\dfrac{1}{G(\theta)}G(\theta)=\dfrac{g(\theta)}{(G(\theta))^2}\int_0^\theta G(x)\,dx>0\),故 \(\bar b\) 严格递增,亦可微。(激励相容) 主体 \(i\) 选报告 \(\hat\theta\) 解 \(\max_{\hat\theta}U(\hat\theta\mid\theta)\equiv G(\hat\theta)(\theta_i-\bar b(\hat\theta))\)。由 (24.2) 得 \(\bar b(\hat\theta)G(\hat\theta)=\hat\theta G(\hat\theta)-\int_0^{\hat\theta}G(x)\,dx\),故 \(U(\hat\theta\mid\theta)=G(\hat\theta)(\theta-\hat\theta)+\int_0^{\hat\theta}G(x)\,dx\) (24.3),而 \(U(\theta\mid\theta)=\int_0^\theta G(x)\,dx\) (24.4)。相减:\(\Delta U=U(\theta\mid\theta)-U(\hat\theta\mid\theta)=\int_{\hat\theta}^\theta[G(x)-G(\hat\theta)]\,dx\ge0\)(若 \(\hat\theta<\theta\) 则 \(G(x)\ge G(\hat\theta)\);若 \(\hat\theta>\theta\) 则积分与被积函数符号同时翻转,整体仍正)。故讲真话最优,\(\bar b(\cdot)\) 为对称均衡。\(\blacksquare\)(Strict monotonicity) Differentiate (24.2): \(\bar b'(\theta)=1+\dfrac{g(\theta)}{(G(\theta))^2}\int_0^\theta G(x)\,dx-\dfrac{1}{G(\theta)}G(\theta)=\dfrac{g(\theta)}{(G(\theta))^2}\int_0^\theta G(x)\,dx>0\), so \(\bar b\) is strictly increasing and differentiable. (Incentive compatibility) Agent \(i\) chooses report \(\hat\theta\) to solve \(\max_{\hat\theta}U(\hat\theta\mid\theta)\equiv G(\hat\theta)(\theta_i-\bar b(\hat\theta))\). From (24.2), \(\bar b(\hat\theta)G(\hat\theta)=\hat\theta G(\hat\theta)-\int_0^{\hat\theta}G(x)\,dx\), so \(U(\hat\theta\mid\theta)=G(\hat\theta)(\theta-\hat\theta)+\int_0^{\hat\theta}G(x)\,dx\) (24.3), while \(U(\theta\mid\theta)=\int_0^\theta G(x)\,dx\) (24.4). Subtracting: \(\Delta U=U(\theta\mid\theta)-U(\hat\theta\mid\theta)=\int_{\hat\theta}^\theta[G(x)-G(\hat\theta)]\,dx\ge0\) (if \(\hat\theta<\theta\) then \(G(x)\ge G(\hat\theta)\); if \(\hat\theta>\theta\) both the integral and the integrand flip sign, so the whole is still positive). So truthful reporting is optimal and \(\bar b(\cdot)\) is a symmetric equilibrium. \(\blacksquare\)
24.3.2 包络定理法 / Envelope theorem method
主体 \(i\) 以类型 \(\theta_i\) 用 \(\bar b(\cdot)\) 的效用为 \(U_i(\theta_i)=\mathbb{P}(\bar b(\theta_i)>\max_{j\ne i}\{\bar b(\theta_j)\})(\theta_i-\bar b(\theta_i))\) (24.5)。由包络定理 \(U_i'(\theta_i)=\mathbb{P}(\bar b(\theta_i)>\max_{j\ne i}\{\bar b(\theta_j)\})=G(\theta_i)\)(因 \(U_i\) 中涉及 \(\theta_i\) 的只有 \(\theta_i\) 与 \(\bar b(\theta_i)\),而 \(\partial U_i/\partial\bar b(\theta_i)=0\) 由包络定理成立,只剩一处 \(\theta_i\) 求导)。积分并用 \(U_i(0)=0\) 定常数为 0,得 (24.6):\(U_i(\theta)=\int_0^\theta G(x)\,dx\Rightarrow G(\theta)(\theta-\bar b(\theta))=\int_0^\theta G(x)\,dx\Rightarrow\bar b(\theta)=\theta-\frac{1}{G(\theta)}\int_0^\theta G(x)\,dx\),与 (24.2) 相同。
24.3.2 Envelope theorem method
Agent \(i\)'s utility of using \(\bar b(\cdot)\) with type \(\theta_i\) is \(U_i(\theta_i)=\mathbb{P}(\bar b(\theta_i)>\max_{j\ne i}\{\bar b(\theta_j)\})(\theta_i-\bar b(\theta_i))\) (24.5). By the envelope theorem \(U_i'(\theta_i)=\mathbb{P}(\bar b(\theta_i)>\max_{j\ne i}\{\bar b(\theta_j)\})=G(\theta_i)\) (because the arguments involving \(\theta_i\) in \(U_i\) are only \(\theta_i\) and \(\bar b(\theta_i)\), and \(\partial U_i/\partial\bar b(\theta_i)=0\) by the envelope theorem, so only one place of \(\theta_i\) takes the derivative). Integrating and pinning the constant to 0 via \(U_i(0)=0\) gives (24.6): \(U_i(\theta)=\int_0^\theta G(x)\,dx\Rightarrow G(\theta)(\theta-\bar b(\theta))=\int_0^\theta G(x)\,dx\Rightarrow\bar b(\theta)=\theta-\frac{1}{G(\theta)}\int_0^\theta G(x)\,dx\), the same as (24.2).
注 24.1:最优出价的解读 / Remark 24.1: interpreting the optimal bid 由 (24.1),最优出价是"在自己为最高类型的条件下、第二高类型的条件期望"(\(G(\cdot),g(\cdot)\) 是 \(n-1\) 个主体中最高者的累积分布与密度)。故 \(\bar b(\theta)=\mathbb{E}[\max_{j\ne i}\theta_j\mid\max_{j\ne i}\theta_j\le\theta_i]\),即在自己拥有最高估值的条件下,以最便宜的方式(出第二高类型)赢得物品。From (24.1), the optimal bid is the conditional expectation of the second-highest type conditional on the agent himself having the highest type (\(G(\cdot),g(\cdot)\) being the c.d.f. and p.d.f. of the highest of \(n-1\) agents). So \(\bar b(\theta)=\mathbb{E}[\max_{j\ne i}\theta_j\mid\max_{j\ne i}\theta_j\le\theta_i]\), i.e. bid the second-highest type to win the good in the cheapest way, conditional on the bidder having the highest valuation.
24.3.3 拍卖人的期望收入 / Expected revenue of the auctioneer
对称均衡 \(\bar b(\cdot)\) 下,拍卖人从主体 \(i\) 的期望收入为:\(i\) 获胜概率 \(G(\theta_i)\) 乘以 \(i\) 贡献的收入 \(\bar b(\theta_i)\),即 \(R_i(\theta_i)=G(\theta_i)\cdot\bar b(\theta_i)=G(\theta_i)\cdot\frac{1}{G(\theta_i)}\int_0^{\theta_i}xg(x)\,dx=\int_0^{\theta_i}xg(x)\,dx\)。总期望收入 \(ER^{FPA}=\mathbb{E}[\sum_{i=1}^n R_i(\theta_i)]=n\cdot\mathbb{E}[\int_0^\theta xg(x)\,dx]\),分部积分得 \(n\int_0^1\theta g(\theta)(1-F(\theta))\,d\theta\),再用 \(g(\theta)=(n-1)F(\theta)^{n-2}f(\theta)\) 得 (24.7):
24.3.3 Expected revenue of the auctioneer
In the symmetric equilibrium \(\bar b(\cdot)\), the auctioneer's expected revenue from agent \(i\) is \(R_i(\theta_i)=\underbrace{G(\theta_i)}_{\text{prob. }i\text{ wins}}\times\underbrace{\bar b(\theta_i)}_{\text{revenue from }i}=G(\theta_i)\cdot\frac{1}{G(\theta_i)}\int_0^{\theta_i}xg(x)\,dx=\int_0^{\theta_i}xg(x)\,dx\). The total expected revenue \(ER^{FPA}=\mathbb{E}[\sum_{i=1}^n R_i(\theta_i)]=n\cdot\mathbb{E}[\int_0^\theta xg(x)\,dx]\), and integration by parts gives \(n\int_0^1\theta g(\theta)(1-F(\theta))\,d\theta\); using \(g(\theta)=(n-1)F(\theta)^{n-2}f(\theta)\) gives (24.7):
$$ ER^{FPA}=\int_0^1\theta\cdot\underbrace{n(n-1)f(\theta)F(\theta)^{n-2}(1-F(\theta))}_{\text{density of 2nd order statistic}}\,d\theta=\mathbb{E}[\theta\mid\theta=\text{2nd highest type}] \tag{24.7} $$
第二高类型的密度 / Density of the second-highest type \(n(n-1)f(\theta)F(\theta)^{n-2}(1-F(\theta))\) 确实是第二高类型的密度:对某主体 \(i\) 为最高、\(j\) 以类型 \(\theta\) 为第二高,需 \(i\) 高于 \(j\)(概率 \(1-F(\theta)\))、其余 \(n-2\) 个低于 \(j\)(概率 \(F(\theta)^{n-2}\))、\(j\) 类型为 \(\theta\) 的密度 \(f(\theta)\),联合 \(f(\theta)F(\theta)^{n-2}(1-F(\theta))\);\(i\) 有 \(n-1\) 个候选且互斥,并集 \((n-1)f(\theta)F(\theta)^{n-2}(1-F(\theta))\);\(j\) 有 \(n\) 个候选,并集 \(n(n-1)f(\theta)F(\theta)^{n-2}(1-F(\theta))\)。\(n(n-1)f(\theta)F(\theta)^{n-2}(1-F(\theta))\) is indeed the density of the second-highest type: for some agent \(i\) to be highest and \(j\) with type \(\theta\) to be second-highest, we need \(i\) higher than \(j\) (prob \(1-F(\theta)\)), all other \(n-2\) lower than \(j\) (prob \(F(\theta)^{n-2}\)), and the density of \(j\) having type \(\theta\) is \(f(\theta)\), joint \(f(\theta)F(\theta)^{n-2}(1-F(\theta))\); there are \(n-1\) mutually exclusive candidates for \(i\), union \((n-1)f(\theta)F(\theta)^{n-2}(1-F(\theta))\); and \(n\) candidates for \(j\), union \(n(n-1)f(\theta)F(\theta)^{n-2}(1-F(\theta))\).
24.4 二价拍卖 / Second-price auction
24.4.1 弱占优策略与相同期望收入 / Weakly dominant strategy and same expected revenue
24.4 Second-price auction
24.4.1 Weakly dominant strategy and same expected revenue
断言 24.1 / Claim 24.1 对玩家 \(i\) 而言,出价 \(b_i=\theta_i\) 是(弱)占优策略。It is a (weakly) dominant strategy for player \(i\) to bid \(b_i=\theta_i\).
证明 / Proof
定义 \(b_j^\star\equiv\max_{j\ne i}b_j\)。情形 1:\(\theta_i>b_j^\star\)。 出 \(b_i=\theta_i\) 则胜,支付 \(\theta_i-b_j^\star>0\)。(1) 出 \(b_i>\theta_i\) 仍胜,支付仍 \(\theta_i-b_j^\star>0\),无激励偏离;(2) 出 \(b_i\le b_j^\star\) 则败、支付 0,劣于 \(\theta_i-b_j^\star\);(3) 出 \(b_j^\star
既然所有主体都出自己的估值、赢者支付第二高出价,则拍卖人的期望收入 \(ER^{SPA}=\mathbb{E}[\theta\mid\theta=\text{2nd highest type}]\),与 (24.7) 给出的 \(ER^{FPA}\) 完全相同。故一价拍卖与二价拍卖给拍卖人相同的期望收入。
24.4.2 多重均衡 / Multiple equilibria
讲真话只是弱占优,故讲真话均衡并非唯一均衡——若博弈从讲真话均衡开始,没人会偏离,但完全可能博弈从另一个均衡开始。
Since all agents bid their valuation and the winner pays the second-highest bid, the auctioneer's expected revenue is \(ER^{SPA}=\mathbb{E}[\theta\mid\theta=\text{2nd highest type}]\), which is exactly the same as \(ER^{FPA}\) given by (24.7). So the first-price and second-price auctions generate the same expected revenue to the auctioneer.
24.4.2 Multiple equilibria
Truth-telling is only a weakly dominant strategy, so the truth-telling equilibrium is not the only equilibrium — if the game starts at the truth-telling equilibrium none of the agents will deviate, but it is entirely possible the game starts at another equilibrium.
例 24.1(二价拍卖的非讲真话均衡)/ Example 24.1 (Non-truth-telling equilibrium for SPA) IPV 环境,\(n\) 个买家类型同分布 \(F_i=F_j\) 于 \([\underline\theta,\overline\theta]\)。一个均衡是:买家 1 总出 \(\overline\theta\),所有其他买家出 0。检验无人偏离:对买家 1,给定他人出 0,他总付 0 并得物品,无法改进;对买家 \(2,\dots,n\),给定买家 1 总出 \(\overline\theta\),他们出价低于 \(\overline\theta\) 则不会赢,与出 0 无异;若出价等于或高于 \(\overline\theta\),其最高支付只有当类型为 \(\overline\theta\) 时为 0、否则为负,弱劣于出 0 得 0。故买家 \(2,\dots,n\) 不偏离 0。因此该结果确为均衡。注意此均衡下拍卖人期望收入为 0——这并不违反(特例的)收入等价定理 25.1,因为此均衡下物品并不总是分给最高类型买家、最低类型买家也不总有零支付。In an IPV environment with \(n\) bidders whose types follow symmetric distributions \(F_i=F_j\) on \([\underline\theta,\overline\theta]\), an equilibrium is that bidder 1 always bids \(\overline\theta\) and all other bidders bid 0. Check no one deviates: for bidder 1, given others bid 0, he always pays 0 and gets the good, cannot improve; for bidders \(2,\dots,n\), given bidder 1 always bids \(\overline\theta\), they won't win if they bid lower than \(\overline\theta\), which makes no difference from bidding 0; if they bid equal to or higher than \(\overline\theta\), their highest payoff is 0 only when their type is \(\overline\theta\) and negative otherwise, weakly worse than bidding 0 and getting 0. So bidders \(2,\dots,n\) won't deviate from bidding 0. Therefore this outcome is indeed an equilibrium. Notice that in this equilibrium the expected revenue to the auctioneer is 0 — which does not contradict the (special-case) Revenue Equivalence Theorem 25.1, because under this equilibrium the good is not always awarded to the highest-type bidder and the lowest-type bidder does not always have zero payoff.
24.5 升价(英式)与钟(荷式)拍卖 / Ascending (English) and Clock (Dutch) Auction
24.5 Ascending (English) and Clock (Dutch) Auction
英式 \(\equiv\) 二价、荷式 \(\equiv\) 一价 / English \(\equiv\) second-price, Dutch \(\equiv\) first-price 英式(升价):拍卖人从低价起,价格上升直到只剩一人愿出价,最后留下者赢、付自己最终出价。相比二价拍卖,这是涉及多轮的动态过程;但在 IPV 下,结果是最高类型者赢、付第二高出价(即他成为唯一出价者的临界点)加上一分钱(可忽略),以最大化支付;最优策略是一直加价直到价格超过自身真实估值 \(\theta\)(每人最终出价=真实估值 \(\theta\)),与二价拍卖结果完全相同。荷式(钟):拍卖人从高价起,价格下降直到第一人愿出价,第一出价者赢、付自己初始出价。相比一价拍卖,这是关于"何时出价"的动态猜测过程;但在 IPV 下,结果是最高类型者赢、付"他理性预期另一买家将加入"的期望第二高出价加一分钱;最优策略是一直等到价格降到"自身为最高条件下第二高的期望值"才出价(最终出价=条件期望的第二高 \(\theta\)),与一价拍卖结果完全相同。故英式 \(\equiv\) 二价、荷式 \(\equiv\) 一价;四种拍卖给拍卖人相同期望收入,由下一章的收入等价定理推广。English (ascending): the auctioneer starts low, the price rises until only one person is willing to bid, the last remaining wins and pays his own final bid. Compared with the second-price auction, this is a dynamic process of several rounds; but under IPV, the result is that the highest type wins and pays the second-highest bid (the cutoff point where he becomes alone in bidding) plus a penny (negligible) to maximize his payoff; the optimal strategy is always to keep bidding up until the price goes over his true valuation \(\theta\) (everyone's last and ending bid = true valuation \(\theta\)), exactly the same result as the second-price auction. Dutch (clock): the auctioneer starts high, the price drops until the first person is willing to bid, the first bidder wins and pays his own initial bid. Compared with the first-price auction, this is a dynamic process of guessing when to bid; but under IPV, the result is that the highest type wins and pays the expected second-highest bid (the cutoff where he rationally expects another bidder to join) plus a penny; the optimal strategy is to wait until the price goes down to the expected value of the second-highest conditional on the agent having the highest, with the ending bid = the conditionally expected second-highest \(\theta\), exactly the same result as the first-price auction. So English \(\equiv\) second-price, Dutch \(\equiv\) first-price; the four auctions yield the same expected revenue to the auctioneer, generalized by the Revenue Equivalence Theorem of the next chapter.
参考文献 / References
- Vickrey, W. (1961). Counterspeculation, Auctions, and Competitive Sealed Tenders.(二价拍卖与讲真话占优)
- Krishna, V. (2009). Auction Theory.(标准拍卖与收入等价,亦见 [[revenue-equivalence]])
References
- Vickrey, W. (1961). Counterspeculation, Auctions, and Competitive Sealed Tenders. (the second-price auction and truth-telling dominance)
- Krishna, V. (2009). Auction Theory. (standard auctions and revenue equivalence; see also [[revenue-equivalence]])